Welcome to 2017, and our first news
recap of the year. We’re two weeks in, and already bitcoin has been on a tear.
It’s been dubbed the top performing currency of 2016, and the price reached
highs not seen since 2013. Read on for news covering these milestones, the
challenges ahead, and plenty more as we usher in a new exciting year
THE PRICE
RALLY OF Q4 2016 & CHINESE MARKET INFLUENCE
Our final recap of 2016 included
speculation about whether the bitcoin price would topple the $1,000 mark in the
last few hours of the year or not. It was definitely a close call, but
December’s rally slowed slightly between the 30th and 31st, only to pick up the
pace and surpass $1,000 on the first day of the new year. Bitcoin gained 123%
value last year, and it was dubbed the top performing currency of 2016.
Business Insider author, Jonathan Garber, so-eloquently described it with his
article titled, “Bitcoin is going bananas.”
Some headlines suggest the
strengthening of the Chinese yuan, coupled with a decrease in demand for
bitcoin on Chinese exchanges were key factors causing the price to subsequently
drop. At the time of writing it now sits at $818 USD, and whether we’ll see the
price perk up to those early 2017 highs again soon could depend on the SEC’s
approval decision for the Winklevoss ETF, which was moved to March. Brave New
Coin’s Luke Parker highlights the slow, organic growth demonstrated since
October, which is in stark contrast to the typical frenzy during bitcoin’s
history of speculative bubbles.
While the majority of bitcoin trading
happens out of China, an NY Times article suggests most of the recent price
movement is “a result of bets by speculators,” as well as activity from
wealthier Chinese citizens who use bitcoin as a way to avoid their government’s
strict capital controls. In the same article, the author suggests that much of
the trading is driven by hope of its future potential as opposed to its degree
of utility today.
BITCOIN’S
RESILIENCE SHINES AROUND THE WORLD
Looking beyond China’s market to a
more global economic perspective, our Co-Founder Nicolas Cary explains
bitcoin’s resilience as a phenomenon called antifragility, which occurs when “a
property of systems” (in this case, bitcoin’s value) “increase in capability
and resilience as a result of stressors, shocks, attacks, and faults.” And as
we’ve covered time and time again, bitcoin is drawing the attention of new
users and governments from around the world. More recently, Indonesia is in the
spotlight for its rise in bitcoin users, despite Bank Indonesia’s 2014 usage
warning and shift to a neutral stance that bitcoin was not considered legal
tender. It also became increasingly useful for Indonesians last May, when large
payment platform KinerjaPay Corp., enabled bitcoin payments, which meant that
users could “pay their bills, transfer money, or make purchases in the
[c]ompany’s ecommerce market.”
Indonesian bitcoin users remain
hopeful that their government will slowly embrace the digital currency. On a
similar note, many people in Nigeria are also embracing it, according to
NewsBTC author, JP Buntinx. While Buntinx does not provide a source for his
number of Nigerian bitcoin-accepting merchants, the depreciation of the Naira
and demand for affordable money transfer services could certainly increase
bitcoin’s appeal locally. Greece may see a spark in bitcoin interest once
again, as headlines from ZeroHedge and The Dollar Vigilante indicate the
government has taken steps towards encouraging use of a payment card over cash
for consumer goods and services in what has been dubbed a “‘soft’ cash ban.”
BITCOIN’S
8TH BIRTHDAY, AND DIFFERENT PHASES OF GROWTH
Bitcoin celebrated its 8th birthday
on January 3rd. The $1,000+ price and positive outlook for 2017 gave the
bitcoin community a big reason to celebrate. And in a period where gold
decreased in value, bitcoin managed to become the only currency to surpass it.
Other milestones over the past 12 months include development of major scaling
innovations like SegWit, plus the surge in wallet generation from major
providers including our wallet, which recently passed the 11 million mark, and
also Coinbase, at 5.3 million.
Entrepreneur Vinny Lingham joined in
on the birthday festivities in a post that outlines the 3 phases of bitcoin,
with 2016 being the last year of Phase 1, “Creating a Digital Commodity.” As we
move into Phase 2, “Proving it as a Store of Value,” Lingham points out that
the 20X annual returns seen by early bitcoin holders should not be expected
over the same period of time as bitcoin matures, but “over a longer period of
time and in [a] more sustainable fashion.” He stresses that bitcoin must
demonstrate “steady growth and low volatility” in order to enter Phase 3, when
it’s considered currency.
Another inspiring call to the bitcoin
community came from digital currency and blockchain enthusiast Don Tapscott and
son Alex, who co-authored a Huffington Post piece explaining why 2016 was the
most important year for bitcoin since the white paper was published in 2008.
Both see the big challenge for 2017 to be governance, and a push for the
community to get organized and pull together.
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